Strengthening Sterling for your Property Purchase in Canary Islands
Latest on financial and currency exchange markets from Halo Financial with strengthening sterling vs euro for your property property investments in the Canary Islands:
I have the solution Greece’s debt woes; I saw an advert for a company that, as long as you are a home owner (I am sure the Greek government must own some property) takes all your debt, consolidate it into one affordable monthly payment and frees you from all your worries. They can even get you some extra money for a holiday or a new car or something. If they can do that for the smiling people in the advert, just think what they can do for Prime Minister Papandreou and it would let Angela Merkel off the hook too.
And Greece does need some urgent help because credit ratings agency Standard and Poors announced that it had dropped the rating for Greek government debt to ‘junk’ status yesterday. That puts it in a par with the likes of Romania and Azerbaijan and quite apart from the embarrassment for Greece and the rest of Europe, it will also make it much harder for Greece to raise the €9 billion it needs by 19th May without paying a hefty premium. S&P also downgraded Portugal’s debt level on the basis that the Greek debt contagion could spread. That’s a bit like your credit rating being hit because someone in your lottery syndicate failed to make his credit card payments, just in case you do likewise but S&P are unrepentant. Please do remember though that right up until they collapsed, S&P and the other agencies were still saying mortgage backed securities were cast iron safe.
To be fair though, I don’t think anyone in the market was unaware of Greece’s problems (probably no one in the Western hemisphere either) and that would explain the lack of a sudden drop in the value of the Euro after the announcement. However, many analysts are concerned that the markets haven’t yet reflected the gravity of Greece’s situation and the longer term effects of the downgrade within the pricing of the Euro. I am sure those who need to buy Euros will be hoping they are right and that a sudden epiphany will hit traders who will sell the heck out of Europe’s currency. There were effects elsewhere as the US Dollar was bought by safe haven seekers and that resulted in a drop in the Euro- US Dollar exchange rate which wasn’t reflected in the Sterling - Euro rate.
On the UK side of things, UK mortgage lending levels were up on last year but last year was the worst in decades so that is no great surprise. However, the month on month figure was disappointing and the news failed to move the Pound. Sterling also ignored the warnings from the Institute for Fiscal Studies that none of the three main political parties had outlined anywhere near enough cuts to hit their debt reduction targets. I think we could all work for that institute then because we all know they are being cagey about the depth of the cuts necessary; they don’t think we can handle the truth and are fearful that we will shoot the messenger if we are told the facts of life about Britain’s massive debt problem. Perhaps it will take a warning from the IFS before the truth outs.
Yesterday brought further UK election polls suggesting the potential for a coalition or minority government is undiminished. And despite what is being said in some quarters, the financial markets are not convinced this is good for the UK, so the Pound is notable to strengthen through significant technical levels. It is stuck below AUD 1.6666, below EUR 1.16, below USD 1.55 and below CAD 1.55 as well. Thankfully for those with Sterling to sell, we are still near the tops of these ranges but I think we have to thank heavens the election is only a week away so we can get on with trading the fundamentals rather than the election polls.
Today started with Australian inflation data which showed a 2.9 percent annualised increase; right at the top end of the Reserve Bank of Australia’s target range. Traders took that to mean further interest rate hikes would be forthcoming in spite of the RBA governor suggesting their base rate was near to average levels and the Australian Dollar remains strong this morning relative to the US Dollar but fairly flat against the Pound.
Today also brings interest rate decisions from America and New Zealand. No change is forecast from either central bank but each of their statements will be essential reading for those with an interest. We are looking for evidence of when and how the US Federal Reserve will start to reduce their cash support for the markets through the TARPS plan and we are wondering when the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will start to hike interest rates to bring their base rate back to a more normal (for New Zealand) level of 4 to 6 percent. All, some or none of this will be revealed today.
And that is about it for today. I’ll let you go because I know you are itching to get back in front of the TV to watch more election campaign interviews. Its riveting isn’t it....other than the fact that nothing is really happening, other than after the Thursday interviews.
Labels: canary island, currency exchange, euro, financial, goldacre estates, gran canaria, property, sterling



